IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.5	#342
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#108
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.8	#336

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.7	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	1.5%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	4.6%	7.7%	1.7%
.500 or above in Conference	14.5%	19.1%	10.1%
Conference Champion	0.8%	1.2%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	39.8%	33.5%	45.6%

First Four	0.9%	1.1%	0.6%
First Round	0.6%	0.8%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Home) - 48.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	7 - 12	7 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	321	Hartford	L	72-73	48%
Nov 09, 2019	93	@ St. John's	L	66-87	3%
Nov 14, 2019	65	@ Arizona St.	L	66-91	1%
Nov 16, 2019	237	@ Massachusetts	L	67-79	13%
Nov 19, 2019	334	New Hampshire	W	67-66	53%
Nov 23, 2019	84	Vermont	L	59-79	4%
Dec 01, 2019	263	@ Umass Lowell	L	73-84	17%
Dec 07, 2019	333	Maine	W	68-67	53%
Dec 15, 2019	101	@ Boston College	L	62-83	4%
Dec 18, 2019	193	@ Dartmouth	L	65-79	11%
Dec 20, 2019	43	@ Penn St.	L	59-86	1%
Jan 02, 2020	273	Robert Morris	L	67-71	36%
Jan 04, 2020	248	St. Francis (PA)	L	73-79	32%
Jan 09, 2020	210	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	70-83	12%
Jan 11, 2020	304	Merrimack	L	71-73	42%
Jan 15, 2020	249	@ Sacred Heart	L	73-85	16%
Jan 18, 2020	287	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	67-76	22%
Jan 20, 2020	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	68-79	17%
Jan 23, 2020	249	Sacred Heart	L	76-82	32%
Jan 25, 2020	331	Wagner	W	67-66	52%
Jan 30, 2020	248	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	70-82	16%
Feb 01, 2020	273	@ Robert Morris	L	64-74	20%
Feb 08, 2020	314	@ Bryant	L	71-78	26%
Feb 13, 2020	210	LIU Brooklyn	L	73-80	27%
Feb 15, 2020	314	Bryant	L	74-75	45%
Feb 18, 2020	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	71-76	32%
Feb 21, 2020	331	@ Wagner	L	64-69	34%
Feb 27, 2020	304	@ Merrimack	L	68-76	25%
Feb 29, 2020	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	71-74	40%
Projected Record						7 - 22	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.8	1st
2nd											0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0					1.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.0	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0					2.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.0							3.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	2.1	1.4	0.2	0.0								4.3	5th
6th							0.1	0.7	2.9	2.0	0.4	0.0									6.0	6th
7th						0.1	0.8	3.4	2.9	0.7	0.0										7.8	7th
8th					0.1	1.2	4.2	3.9	0.8	0.0	0.0										10.3	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	2.2	5.1	5.1	1.5	0.1												14.3	9th
10th		0.1	1.5	4.2	6.9	5.4	1.9	0.1													20.0	10th
11th	2.5	6.0	8.2	7.5	4.1	1.2	0.1	0.0													29.5	11th

Total	2.5	6.1	9.7	12.0	13.3	12.9	12.0	9.6	7.4	5.4	3.8	2.3	1.4	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	87.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	56.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	27.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	7.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	1.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		76.2%	76.2%		14.8													0.0			0.0		0.0
16-2	0.0%		56.2%	56.2%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-3	0.1%		24.7%	24.7%		15.1															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
14-4	0.4%		17.2%	17.2%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.3
13-5	0.9%		9.3%	9.3%		15.9																0.0	0.1	0.8
12-6	1.4%		9.9%	9.9%		16.0																	0.1	1.3
11-7	2.3%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																	0.1	2.2
10-8	3.8%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																	0.2	3.7
9-9	5.4%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																	0.2	5.3
8-10	7.4%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	7.3
7-11	9.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.5
6-12	12.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
5-13	12.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.9
4-14	13.3%																							13.3
3-15	12.0%																							12.0
2-16	9.7%																							9.7
1-17	6.1%																							6.1
0-18	2.5%																							2.5

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	15.9													0.0		0.0	0.1	1.0	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.7%